The new film Civil War is a cinematic achievement. Director Alex Garland has made a movie that might be worse than a real American civil war.

Perhaps that was Garland’s intention. His film is a series of horrifying set pieces — torture by gas station attendants, summary execution of journalists, a massive California-and-Texas invasion of Washington D.C. — that add up to a warning. If we don’t steer away from our current path of political conflict, Garland suggests, this could be the end of the United States.

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To be fair, there’s established logic in this message. As Romanian philosopher E.M. Cioran wrote: “When we perceive the end in the beginning, we move faster than time. Illumination, that lightning disappointment, affords certitude which transforms disillusion into deliverance.”

But Civil War never provides the illumination or certitude that inspire action. It’s too Hollywood, which is to say that it’s too unoriginal and violent. 

Indeed, the film is so over-the-top that it feels uncomfortably, well, Putinist. These days the Russian and Chinese governments routinely promote the idea that the U.S. is headed for bloody civil war that will destroy the country. Civil War brings that propaganda to cinematic life.

If the U.S. does see another civil war,  it will not resemble the new film’s vision of warring armies advancing on Washington. That’s an anachronism, owing more to the 1860s Civil War than modern warfare. 

Nor will it involve fights between specific states. Our most bitter fault lines are not about geography but about ideology, race, gender, age, class, education. A civil war will map those divides within our cities and our neighborhoods.

Indeed, the real challenge of the next American civil war will be perceiving whether it is a war at all. Such a conflict will be fought with cyberattacks, disinformation, and psychological warfare. The battlegrounds will be legal, with warring factions seeking to cancel each other’s rights and prerogatives, and global, with our enemies funding and fueling the conflict while our allies seek to intervene and negotiate peace.

For these reasons, it’s time to retire the idea of California “secession,” even for Californians sympathetic to making California independent by peaceful means. Let’s face facts: The Golden State is never going to break away and fire on Camp Pendleton, like South Carolina fired on Fort Sumter in 1861. We have no military, and no offensive warfare beyond Gov. Newsom’s Fox News appearances.  

No—if California ever becomes an independent nation, the more likely path will be through a U.S. government meltdown. Unfortunately, that scenario is  possible. It is easy to imagine a fascist president, with a compliant Supreme Court and  Congress, using his military to punish cities and states he doesn’t like. Such a president might invoke executive powers to shut down Congress (as Donald Trump attempted on Jan. 6) or government agencies that won’t bend to his command. 

In such a circumstance, California, without representation in Congress, would have to take on the duties of a nation, and over time would naturally drift away from the disintegrating U.S. to become a separate republic.

To make a great movie about a real American civil war would require a filmmaker with the virtuosity of the late Akira Kurosawa, whose 1950 film Rashomon famously tells one story from multiple, contradictory perspectives. Or perhaps the San Fernando Valley auteur Paul Thomas Anderson (who used a similar technique in Magnolia), or Drew Goddard, who made the Lake Tahoe noir Bad Times at the El Royale, could manage it.

Garland’s film never comes close. We never get to know the civil war’s combatants. Instead, the director tells his story through the narrow perspectives of four journalists who come off as callous, selfish, or vaguely ridiculous. As the president is about to be executed by California and Texas soldiers, one journalist asks the soldiers to wait a second because “I need a quote.” 

The film feels unimaginative because the idea of another American civil war is so old. Marvel made a much smarter film on the subject in 2016 when feuding superheroes turned on each other in 2016’s Captain America: Civil War

But watching this Civil War, I found myself thinking of the 1997 satire The Second American Civil War. That cable TV movie, with scenes filmed at the State Capitol, envisioned a future too much like our present, with civil war in a country divided by race, immigration, politics, and media nonsense. This older film, while sillier, is the more responsible and restrained movie. 

“The country is falling apart,” says a TV producer played by Dan Hedaya. “We don’t need exclamation marks.”

Joe Mathews writes the Connecting California column for Zócalo Public Square, an Arizona State University media enterprise.